Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.264431 0.310697 0.359898 0.415839 0.477402 0.542818 0.617318
2024-10-06 0.212899 0.277619 0.351042 0.439393 0.541724 0.655478 0.790438
2024-10-13 0.164822 0.238848 0.328319 0.441791 0.579284 0.738065 0.932832
2024-10-20 0.129524 0.208640 0.310315 0.445646 0.616266 0.819776 1.076350
2024-10-27 0.106364 0.189542 0.302672 0.459785 0.664635 0.915542 1.238882
2024-11-03 0.088548 0.174273 0.297335 0.474986 0.713566 1.012509 1.404910
2024-11-10 0.073970 0.160844 0.292272 0.488970 0.760289 1.107146 1.569769
2024-11-17 0.057462 0.140772 0.274680 0.483245 0.779296 1.165818 1.689892
2024-11-24 0.046846 0.128329 0.266659 0.489667 0.813922 1.244646 1.836465
2024-12-01 0.036005 0.112690 0.251297 0.483371 0.829578 1.297854 1.950149
2024-12-08 0.025860 0.095314 0.230392 0.466297 0.828103 1.326920 2.031747
2024-12-15 0.021180 0.088574 0.226916 0.475805 0.864848 1.408162 2.183179
2024-12-22 0.015357 0.077041 0.213373 0.468392 0.876813 1.456489 2.293176
2024-12-29 0.013297 0.074988 0.217644 0.490684 0.934117 1.569280 2.492137
2025-01-05 0.009912 0.067368 0.209669 0.491313 0.957962 1.635095 2.628089
2025-01-12 0.007386 0.061097 0.203445 0.494265 0.985106 1.705801 2.771541
2025-01-19 0.005952 0.058059 0.203753 0.508692 1.030514 1.803397 2.953320
2025-01-26 0.004827 0.055584 0.204914 0.524509 1.078303 1.904978 3.141666
2025-02-02 0.003850 0.053050 0.205536 0.539181 1.124436 2.004713 3.328519
2025-02-09 0.002463 0.046620 0.195552 0.532893 1.135841 2.053201 3.443717
2025-02-16 0.001734 0.043185 0.192518 0.539650 1.168704 2.133783 3.604972
2025-02-23 0.000983 0.037755 0.183067 0.532862 1.178364 2.179489 3.716906
2025-03-02 0.000402 0.031156 0.168643 0.514576 1.167437 2.193433 3.783085